Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS indicate Munich will see clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 12, with light winds favoring radiational cooling that could push the official minimum to around 7°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 7°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, while the 4°C-or-below bucket at 47% reflects residual uncertainty in exact cooling rates. Historical September 12 lows average 10.5°C, with recent years ranging from 7.4°C to 13.4°C, and current hourly guidance shows early-morning readings near 9–10°C before daytime warming to 21–23°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution based on official station data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 12 de setembro?
4°C ou menos 88%
6°C 22%
5°C 2%
8°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
4°C ou menos
88%
5°C
2%
6°C
22%
7°C
60%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C ou mais
<1%
4°C ou menos 88%
6°C 22%
5°C 2%
8°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
4°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
88%
5°C
$30 Vol.
2%
6°C
$0 Vol.
22%
7°C
$57 Vol.
60%
8°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
14°C ou mais
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS indicate Munich will see clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 12, with light winds favoring radiational cooling that could push the official minimum to around 7°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 7°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, while the 4°C-or-below bucket at 47% reflects residual uncertainty in exact cooling rates. Historical September 12 lows average 10.5°C, with recent years ranging from 7.4°C to 13.4°C, and current hourly guidance shows early-morning readings near 9–10°C before daytime warming to 21–23°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$900Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS indicate Munich will see clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 12, with light winds favoring radiational cooling that could push the official minimum to around 7°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 7°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, while the 4°C-or-below bucket at 47% reflects residual uncertainty in exact cooling rates. Historical September 12 lows average 10.5°C, with recent years ranging from 7.4°C to 13.4°C, and current hourly guidance shows early-morning readings near 9–10°C before daytime warming to 21–23°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$900Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources like GFS indicate Munich will see clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 12, with light winds favoring radiational cooling that could push the official minimum to around 7°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 7°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, while the 4°C-or-below bucket at 47% reflects residual uncertainty in exact cooling rates. Historical September 12 lows average 10.5°C, with recent years ranging from 7.4°C to 13.4°C, and current hourly guidance shows early-morning readings near 9–10°C before daytime warming to 21–23°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution based on official station data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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