Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a cloudy, rainy overnight period for Tokyo on September 15, with scattered showers and thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 22–23°C. Persistent cloud cover and southerly flow suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while recent regional cooling from early-September frontal activity keeps readings below the 20.3°C climatological average low. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 23°C because model consensus clusters there, though slight variations in precipitation timing or wind mixing could shift the outcome toward 22°C or 24°C by resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 15 de setembro?
23°C 38%
24°C 28%
22°C 21%
20°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
19°C ou menos
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
7%
22°C
21%
23°C
38%
24°C
28%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C ou mais
1%
23°C 38%
24°C 28%
22°C 21%
20°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
2%
20°C
$30 Vol.
12%
21°C
$31 Vol.
7%
22°C
$470 Vol.
21%
23°C
$125 Vol.
38%
24°C
$583 Vol.
28%
25°C
$31 Vol.
9%
26°C
$10 Vol.
2%
27°C
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$10 Vol.
1%
29°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a cloudy, rainy overnight period for Tokyo on September 15, with scattered showers and thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 22–23°C. Persistent cloud cover and southerly flow suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while recent regional cooling from early-September frontal activity keeps readings below the 20.3°C climatological average low. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 23°C because model consensus clusters there, though slight variations in precipitation timing or wind mixing could shift the outcome toward 22°C or 24°C by resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,320Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a cloudy, rainy overnight period for Tokyo on September 15, with scattered showers and thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 22–23°C. Persistent cloud cover and southerly flow suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while recent regional cooling from early-September frontal activity keeps readings below the 20.3°C climatological average low. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 23°C because model consensus clusters there, though slight variations in precipitation timing or wind mixing could shift the outcome toward 22°C or 24°C by resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,320Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a cloudy, rainy overnight period for Tokyo on September 15, with scattered showers and thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 22–23°C. Persistent cloud cover and southerly flow suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while recent regional cooling from early-September frontal activity keeps readings below the 20.3°C climatological average low. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 23°C because model consensus clusters there, though slight variations in precipitation timing or wind mixing could shift the outcome toward 22°C or 24°C by resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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