Deb Haaland, the Democratic nominee and former U.S. Secretary of the Interior, holds a commanding lead over Republican Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor, in the open-seat 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race. Recent polling, including a BSP Research survey of registered voters from late July to early August, shows Haaland ahead by 17 points (41% to 24%), with 27% undecided, while primary results gave her 72% of the Democratic vote. New Mexico’s recent Democratic lean in statewide elections, Haaland’s statewide name recognition, and fundraising edge have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. A large undecided bloc, particularly among independents, or late-cycle shifts in turnout or messaging could still narrow the margin before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$33,702 Vol.
$33,702 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democrata
93%
Republicano
6%
$33,702 Vol.
$33,702 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democrata
$18,689 Vol.
93%
Republicano
$15,013 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Deb Haaland, the Democratic nominee and former U.S. Secretary of the Interior, holds a commanding lead over Republican Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor, in the open-seat 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race. Recent polling, including a BSP Research survey of registered voters from late July to early August, shows Haaland ahead by 17 points (41% to 24%), with 27% undecided, while primary results gave her 72% of the Democratic vote. New Mexico’s recent Democratic lean in statewide elections, Haaland’s statewide name recognition, and fundraising edge have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. A large undecided bloc, particularly among independents, or late-cycle shifts in turnout or messaging could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$33,702Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Deb Haaland, the Democratic nominee and former U.S. Secretary of the Interior, holds a commanding lead over Republican Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor, in the open-seat 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race. Recent polling, including a BSP Research survey of registered voters from late July to early August, shows Haaland ahead by 17 points (41% to 24%), with 27% undecided, while primary results gave her 72% of the Democratic vote. New Mexico’s recent Democratic lean in statewide elections, Haaland’s statewide name recognition, and fundraising edge have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. A large undecided bloc, particularly among independents, or late-cycle shifts in turnout or messaging could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$33,702Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Deb Haaland, the Democratic nominee and former U.S. Secretary of the Interior, holds a commanding lead over Republican Gregg Hull, the former Rio Rancho mayor, in the open-seat 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial race. Recent polling, including a BSP Research survey of registered voters from late July to early August, shows Haaland ahead by 17 points (41% to 24%), with 27% undecided, while primary results gave her 72% of the Democratic vote. New Mexico’s recent Democratic lean in statewide elections, Haaland’s statewide name recognition, and fundraising edge have shaped trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic win. A large undecided bloc, particularly among independents, or late-cycle shifts in turnout or messaging could still narrow the margin before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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