Oklahoma's strong Republican lean and the open Class II Senate seat shape trader expectations for a GOP victory in November 2026. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration left the seat vacant, with interim appointee Alan Armstrong ineligible for the full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 are expected to nominate a candidate from a field including Kevin Hern, who holds double-digit leads in recent polls. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a late disruption in the Republican primary and general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
92%
Democrata
7%
$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$8,923 Vol.
92%
Democrata
$5,669 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican lean and the open Class II Senate seat shape trader expectations for a GOP victory in November 2026. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration left the seat vacant, with interim appointee Alan Armstrong ineligible for the full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 are expected to nominate a candidate from a field including Kevin Hern, who holds double-digit leads in recent polls. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a late disruption in the Republican primary and general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$14,591Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican lean and the open Class II Senate seat shape trader expectations for a GOP victory in November 2026. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration left the seat vacant, with interim appointee Alan Armstrong ineligible for the full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 are expected to nominate a candidate from a field including Kevin Hern, who holds double-digit leads in recent polls. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a late disruption in the Republican primary and general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,591Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's strong Republican lean and the open Class II Senate seat shape trader expectations for a GOP victory in November 2026. Markwayne Mullin's March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration left the seat vacant, with interim appointee Alan Armstrong ineligible for the full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 are expected to nominate a candidate from a field including Kevin Hern, who holds double-digit leads in recent polls. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's historical margins and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a late disruption in the Republican primary and general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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