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Finanças·SpaceX

IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?

Market icon
Finanças·SpaceX

IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?

$1,408,839 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$1,408,839 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de abril

$422,978 Vol.

1%

31 de maio

$122,459 Vol.

2%

15 de junho

$60,852 Vol.

11%

30 de junho

$169,438 Vol.

71%

31 de agosto

$3,190 Vol.

74%

30 de setembro

$62,669 Vol.

90%

31 de dezembro

$59,106 Vol.

93%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 has ignited trader optimism for a blockbuster IPO, with sources indicating a targeted early June roadshow and potential mid-2026 listing at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation, aiming to raise up to $75 billion—the largest U.S. offering ever. This follows the February xAI merger, bolstering SpaceX's AI-enhanced space ambitions amid Starlink's global expansion and reusable rocket dominance over rivals like Blue Origin. Key uncertainties include SEC review timelines, market volatility, and Elon Musk's history of shifting plans, but unprecedented 20-30% retail share allocation signals broad access. Watch for prospectus details and roadshow updates in coming weeks, which could solidify or delay resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,408,839
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 has ignited trader optimism for a blockbuster IPO, with sources indicating a targeted early June roadshow and potential mid-2026 listing at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation, aiming to raise up to $75 billion—the largest U.S. offering ever. This follows the February xAI merger, bolstering SpaceX's AI-enhanced space ambitions amid Starlink's global expansion and reusable rocket dominance over rivals like Blue Origin. Key uncertainties include SEC review timelines, market volatility, and Elon Musk's history of shifting plans, but unprecedented 20-30% retail share allocation signals broad access. Watch for prospectus details and roadshow updates in coming weeks, which could solidify or delay resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,408,839
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 93%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 90%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" is "31 de dezembro" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 90%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPO da SpaceX até ___ ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.