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Tshisekedi como Presidente da RDC até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Market icon

Tshisekedi como Presidente da RDC até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Sim

11% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Sim

11% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Félix Tshisekedi's secure second five-year presidential term, sworn in January 2024 following his December 2023 re-election victory with 73% of the vote, drives the 89.5% "No" trader consensus on his removal by December 31, 2026—midway through his constitutional mandate ending in 2028. Ongoing eastern DRC conflict with M23 rebels, including recent territorial gains and Rwandan involvement allegations, has strained his administration but prompted bolstered SADC troop deployments and diplomatic efforts rather than domestic threats to his rule. Opposition figures like Moïse Katumbi and Martin Fayulu, who contested the election results, have not mounted viable impeachment or no-confidence challenges, with protests largely contained. Barring unforeseen coups, health issues, or constitutional crises, incumbency advantages sustain market pricing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,135
Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Félix Tshisekedi's secure second five-year presidential term, sworn in January 2024 following his December 2023 re-election victory with 73% of the vote, drives the 89.5% "No" trader consensus on his removal by December 31, 2026—midway through his constitutional mandate ending in 2028. Ongoing eastern DRC conflict with M23 rebels, including recent territorial gains and Rwandan involvement allegations, has strained his administration but prompted bolstered SADC troop deployments and diplomatic efforts rather than domestic threats to his rule. Opposition figures like Moïse Katumbi and Martin Fayulu, who contested the election results, have not mounted viable impeachment or no-confidence challenges, with protests largely contained. Barring unforeseen coups, health issues, or constitutional crises, incumbency advantages sustain market pricing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,135
Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tshisekedi como Presidente da RDC até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tshisekedi fora da presidência da RDC até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tshisekedi como Presidente da RDC até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 12, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tshisekedi como Presidente da RDC até 31 de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tshisekedi como Presidente da RDC até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is "Tshisekedi fora da presidência da RDC até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tshisekedi como Presidente da RDC até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.