Simone Venturini leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability as the unified centre-right candidate (FdI, Lega, FI, UDC, and now Azione), leveraging his role as deputy mayor for tourism and economic development under outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro, with recent party lists finalized boosting organizational strength. Andrea Martella trails at 37.5% backed by a broad centre-left coalition (PD, M5S, AVS, +Europa, and others), positioning him for a potential runoff on June 7-8 if no first-round majority on May 24-25. Michele Boldrin's late March entry for ORA! garners just 3.4% amid limited traction, while minor candidates linger below 1%. February polls showed Venturini ahead 36-30%, but Azione's endorsement and centre-right momentum have widened the market gap, though Venice's "No" vote on justice reform signals voter volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 3.4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
3%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 3.4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
3%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Simone Venturini leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability as the unified centre-right candidate (FdI, Lega, FI, UDC, and now Azione), leveraging his role as deputy mayor for tourism and economic development under outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro, with recent party lists finalized boosting organizational strength. Andrea Martella trails at 37.5% backed by a broad centre-left coalition (PD, M5S, AVS, +Europa, and others), positioning him for a potential runoff on June 7-8 if no first-round majority on May 24-25. Michele Boldrin's late March entry for ORA! garners just 3.4% amid limited traction, while minor candidates linger below 1%. February polls showed Venturini ahead 36-30%, but Azione's endorsement and centre-right momentum have widened the market gap, though Venice's "No" vote on justice reform signals voter volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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