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Eleições·Peru

Quais candidatos avançam para o segundo turno presidencial de 2026 no Peru?

Market icon
Eleições·Peru

Quais candidatos avançam para o segundo turno presidencial de 2026 no Peru?

Outro 62.7%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 36%

Fujimori & Nieto <1%

López Aliaga & López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$997,368 Vol.

Outro 62.7%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 36%

Fujimori & Nieto <1%

López Aliaga & López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$997,368 Vol.

Outro

$255,478 Vol.

63%

López Aliaga & Fujimori

$329,861 Vol.

36%

Fujimori & Nieto

$199,100 Vol.

1%

López Aliaga & López Chau

$24,017 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Nieto

$32,793 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Fujimori

$67,800 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Nieto

$16,487 Vol.

<1%

López Chau & Sánchez Palomino

$24,264 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino

$37,670 Vol.

<1%

López Aliaga & Grozo

$9,953 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With over 92% of votes counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads at approximately 17%, but the race for second remains razor-tight: Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12%, Rafael López Aliaga at 11.9%, and Jorge Nieto close behind at 11%. Delays in rural vote tallies by ONPE, coupled with López Aliaga's fraud allegations and protests demanding annulment, fuel trader uncertainty, pricing "Other" combinations at 63.1% implied probability. The López Aliaga & Fujimori pairing at 36.5% reflects his early urban strength in Lima and potential to overtake amid the fragmented 40-candidate field, with runoff set for June 7 absent a 50% first-round winner. Final certification looms amid legal challenges.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$997,368
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With over 92% of votes counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads at approximately 17%, but the race for second remains razor-tight: Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12%, Rafael López Aliaga at 11.9%, and Jorge Nieto close behind at 11%. Delays in rural vote tallies by ONPE, coupled with López Aliaga's fraud allegations and protests demanding annulment, fuel trader uncertainty, pricing "Other" combinations at 63.1% implied probability. The López Aliaga & Fujimori pairing at 36.5% reflects his early urban strength in Lima and potential to overtake amid the fragmented 40-candidate field, with runoff set for June 7 absent a 50% first-round winner. Final certification looms amid legal challenges.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$997,368
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais candidatos avançam para o segundo turno presidencial de 2026 no Peru?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outro" at 63%, followed by "López Aliaga & Fujimori" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais candidatos avançam para o segundo turno presidencial de 2026 no Peru?" has generated $997.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais candidatos avançam para o segundo turno presidencial de 2026 no Peru?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais candidatos avançam para o segundo turno presidencial de 2026 no Peru?" is "Outro" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "López Aliaga & Fujimori" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais candidatos avançam para o segundo turno presidencial de 2026 no Peru?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.