Canada’s federal government has sharply curtailed temporary resident admissions under the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, setting a target of 385,000 new arrivals in 2026—down 43 percent from 2025—with further reductions planned for 2027–2028. Permanent resident targets have also been stabilized at 380,000 annually. These measures aim to lower the non-permanent resident share of the total population below 5 percent by the end of 2027. Statistics Canada data already show a 0.1 percent quarterly decline in the first quarter of 2026, driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents that have offset low natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or near-zero annual population growth for the full year, reflecting the cumulative impact of tighter work and study permit caps amid earlier rapid expansion of temporary inflows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУвеличилось
Увеличилось
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s federal government has sharply curtailed temporary resident admissions under the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, setting a target of 385,000 new arrivals in 2026—down 43 percent from 2025—with further reductions planned for 2027–2028. Permanent resident targets have also been stabilized at 380,000 annually. These measures aim to lower the non-permanent resident share of the total population below 5 percent by the end of 2027. Statistics Canada data already show a 0.1 percent quarterly decline in the first quarter of 2026, driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents that have offset low natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or near-zero annual population growth for the full year, reflecting the cumulative impact of tighter work and study permit caps amid earlier rapid expansion of temporary inflows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы