Sustained Falcon 9 operations, enabled by booster reusability often exceeding 20–30 flights and rapid turnarounds near 48 hours, anchor trader consensus around 140–159 launches for 2026. Through mid-September, roughly 108 missions have occurred, paced by dense Starlink deployments alongside national security payloads from the Space Development Agency and U.S. Space Force. Dual-coast sites and manifest reliability above 99 percent support this projection, while Starship integrated test flights contribute modestly amid FAA orbital limits near 25 attempts annually. Key variables ahead include Starship landing performance updates, additional Crew Dragon rotations, and any regulatory adjustments to Florida or Texas pads that could shift the final total.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько SpaceX запустит в 2026 году?
Сколько SpaceX запустит в 2026 году?
140-159 78.2%
160-179 12.3%
120-139 7.3%
200 или более 2.1%
$333,237 Объем
$333,237 Объем
100-119
<1%
120-139
7%
140-159
78%
160-179
12%
180-199
1%
200 или более
2%
140-159 78.2%
160-179 12.3%
120-139 7.3%
200 или более 2.1%
$333,237 Объем
$333,237 Объем
100-119
<1%
120-139
7%
140-159
78%
160-179
12%
180-199
1%
200 или более
2%
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Открытие рынка: Jan 16, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Sustained Falcon 9 operations, enabled by booster reusability often exceeding 20–30 flights and rapid turnarounds near 48 hours, anchor trader consensus around 140–159 launches for 2026. Through mid-September, roughly 108 missions have occurred, paced by dense Starlink deployments alongside national security payloads from the Space Development Agency and U.S. Space Force. Dual-coast sites and manifest reliability above 99 percent support this projection, while Starship integrated test flights contribute modestly amid FAA orbital limits near 25 attempts annually. Key variables ahead include Starship landing performance updates, additional Crew Dragon rotations, and any regulatory adjustments to Florida or Texas pads that could shift the final total.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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