Recent geopolitical tensions and the associated energy price shock have pushed euro area inflation forecasts higher, with ECB staff projections now showing headline inflation averaging 2.6% in 2026. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate at 2.00% and other key rates unchanged at recent meetings while emphasizing a data-dependent approach and declining to pre-commit to any easing path. Reuters polls and market pricing reflect broad expectations that rates will remain steady or rise modestly through the year rather than decline. This sustained inflationary pressure from higher energy costs underpins trader consensus against a rate cut materializing in 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$28,062 Объем
$28,062 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$28,062 Объем
$28,062 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions and the associated energy price shock have pushed euro area inflation forecasts higher, with ECB staff projections now showing headline inflation averaging 2.6% in 2026. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate at 2.00% and other key rates unchanged at recent meetings while emphasizing a data-dependent approach and declining to pre-commit to any easing path. Reuters polls and market pricing reflect broad expectations that rates will remain steady or rise modestly through the year rather than decline. This sustained inflationary pressure from higher energy costs underpins trader consensus against a rate cut materializing in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Объем
$28,062Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions and the associated energy price shock have pushed euro area inflation forecasts higher, with ECB staff projections now showing headline inflation averaging 2.6% in 2026. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate at 2.00% and other key rates unchanged at recent meetings while emphasizing a data-dependent approach and declining to pre-commit to any easing path. Reuters polls and market pricing reflect broad expectations that rates will remain steady or rise modestly through the year rather than decline. This sustained inflationary pressure from higher energy costs underpins trader consensus against a rate cut materializing in 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$28,062Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions and the associated energy price shock have pushed euro area inflation forecasts higher, with ECB staff projections now showing headline inflation averaging 2.6% in 2026. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate at 2.00% and other key rates unchanged at recent meetings while emphasizing a data-dependent approach and declining to pre-commit to any easing path. Reuters polls and market pricing reflect broad expectations that rates will remain steady or rise modestly through the year rather than decline. This sustained inflationary pressure from higher energy costs underpins trader consensus against a rate cut materializing in 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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