Eurozone inflation climbed back above 3% in August 2026, driven by elevated energy prices amid the ongoing Middle East conflict, prompting the ECB to continue its tightening cycle with a June hike to a 2.25% deposit rate and a widely expected September move to 2.50%. Staff projections show headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026 before easing toward 2.3% in 2027, while core measures remain above target amid limited second-round effects. Markets price in additional hikes through year-end rather than cuts, reflecting data-dependent policy focused on returning inflation sustainably to 2%. A sharp de-escalation in energy costs or faster-than-expected growth slowdown could still open the door to earlier easing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
7% вероятность
$31,829 Объем
$31,829 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
7% вероятность
$31,829 Объем
$31,829 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation climbed back above 3% in August 2026, driven by elevated energy prices amid the ongoing Middle East conflict, prompting the ECB to continue its tightening cycle with a June hike to a 2.25% deposit rate and a widely expected September move to 2.50%. Staff projections show headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026 before easing toward 2.3% in 2027, while core measures remain above target amid limited second-round effects. Markets price in additional hikes through year-end rather than cuts, reflecting data-dependent policy focused on returning inflation sustainably to 2%. A sharp de-escalation in energy costs or faster-than-expected growth slowdown could still open the door to earlier easing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Объем
$31,829Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation climbed back above 3% in August 2026, driven by elevated energy prices amid the ongoing Middle East conflict, prompting the ECB to continue its tightening cycle with a June hike to a 2.25% deposit rate and a widely expected September move to 2.50%. Staff projections show headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026 before easing toward 2.3% in 2027, while core measures remain above target amid limited second-round effects. Markets price in additional hikes through year-end rather than cuts, reflecting data-dependent policy focused on returning inflation sustainably to 2%. A sharp de-escalation in energy costs or faster-than-expected growth slowdown could still open the door to earlier easing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$31,829Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation climbed back above 3% in August 2026, driven by elevated energy prices amid the ongoing Middle East conflict, prompting the ECB to continue its tightening cycle with a June hike to a 2.25% deposit rate and a widely expected September move to 2.50%. Staff projections show headline inflation averaging 3.0% for 2026 before easing toward 2.3% in 2027, while core measures remain above target amid limited second-round effects. Markets price in additional hikes through year-end rather than cuts, reflecting data-dependent policy focused on returning inflation sustainably to 2%. A sharp de-escalation in energy costs or faster-than-expected growth slowdown could still open the door to earlier easing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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