Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 14°C (35.5% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, closely aligned with the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)'s latest forecast issued April 11, projecting a daytime maximum of 14°C amid periods of sunshine and variable cloud cover. This positioning reflects ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, indicating mild spring conditions under weak high-pressure influence, with southerly winds limiting stronger warming despite climatological April highs averaging 12–15°C at Schiphol Airport observation station. The 25.5% odds on 15°C account for potential clearing skies boosting shortwave radiation, while lower probabilities for 16°C+ stem from capped convective potential; real-time hourly observations and afternoon updates from KNMI will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
14°C 34%
15°C 26%
13°C 15%
16°C 11%
$25,137 Объем
$25,137 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
15%
14°C
34%
15°C
26%
16°C
11%
17°C or higher
6%
14°C 34%
15°C 26%
13°C 15%
16°C 11%
$25,137 Объем
$25,137 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$4,419 Объем
<1%
8°C
$4,304 Объем
<1%
9°C
$804 Объем
<1%
10°C
$1,793 Объем
<1%
11°C
$4,535 Объем
1%
12°C
$1,976 Объем
1%
13°C
$1,198 Объем
15%
14°C
$989 Объем
34%
15°C
$1,155 Объем
26%
16°C
$1,767 Объем
11%
17°C or higher
$2,204 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 14°C (35.5% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, closely aligned with the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)'s latest forecast issued April 11, projecting a daytime maximum of 14°C amid periods of sunshine and variable cloud cover. This positioning reflects ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, indicating mild spring conditions under weak high-pressure influence, with southerly winds limiting stronger warming despite climatological April highs averaging 12–15°C at Schiphol Airport observation station. The 25.5% odds on 15°C account for potential clearing skies boosting shortwave radiation, while lower probabilities for 16°C+ stem from capped convective potential; real-time hourly observations and afternoon updates from KNMI will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Объем
$25,137Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 14°C (35.5% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, closely aligned with the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)'s latest forecast issued April 11, projecting a daytime maximum of 14°C amid periods of sunshine and variable cloud cover. This positioning reflects ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, indicating mild spring conditions under weak high-pressure influence, with southerly winds limiting stronger warming despite climatological April highs averaging 12–15°C at Schiphol Airport observation station. The 25.5% odds on 15°C account for potential clearing skies boosting shortwave radiation, while lower probabilities for 16°C+ stem from capped convective potential; real-time hourly observations and afternoon updates from KNMI will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,137Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 14°C (35.5% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, closely aligned with the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)'s latest forecast issued April 11, projecting a daytime maximum of 14°C amid periods of sunshine and variable cloud cover. This positioning reflects ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, indicating mild spring conditions under weak high-pressure influence, with southerly winds limiting stronger warming despite climatological April highs averaging 12–15°C at Schiphol Airport observation station. The 25.5% odds on 15°C account for potential clearing skies boosting shortwave radiation, while lower probabilities for 16°C+ stem from capped convective potential; real-time hourly observations and afternoon updates from KNMI will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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