Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 33°C (33.5%) and 32°C (32.0%) for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasts amid the seasonal transition from wet to dry conditions. BMKG's latest guidance warns of light to heavy rain across Jabodetabek through April 12, with current observations on April 11 showing peaks near 31°C under cloudy skies and light showers, capping solar insolation and suppressing highs via high humidity (70-90%) and sea breezes. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks—potentially allowing urban heat island effects to push 33°C—or persistent convective activity holding at 32°C; model ensembles like GFS diverge slightly on timing. Watch BMKG hourly updates from Halim station for resolution cues.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
33°C 39%
32°C 32%
34°C 18%
35°C 7.2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
32%
33°C
34%
34°C
18%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
32°C 32%
34°C 18%
35°C 7.2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
32%
33°C
34%
34°C
18%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 33°C (33.5%) and 32°C (32.0%) for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasts amid the seasonal transition from wet to dry conditions. BMKG's latest guidance warns of light to heavy rain across Jabodetabek through April 12, with current observations on April 11 showing peaks near 31°C under cloudy skies and light showers, capping solar insolation and suppressing highs via high humidity (70-90%) and sea breezes. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks—potentially allowing urban heat island effects to push 33°C—or persistent convective activity holding at 32°C; model ensembles like GFS diverge slightly on timing. Watch BMKG hourly updates from Halim station for resolution cues.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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