Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 15–17°C for London's highest temperature on April 14, mirroring the latest Met Office and BBC forecasts showing maxima of 13–16°C amid sunny intervals and scattered showers. This positioning stems from a recent shift after early April's record 26.6°C heat at Kew Gardens—driven by transient high pressure—now yielding to cooler, unstable Atlantic flows with low-pressure systems introducing cloud cover and 20–60% afternoon rain chances, capping peaks per hourly guidance updated April 11. Differentiating factors include variable cloud amounts and shower timing: fuller sun favors 16–17°C, while persistent overcast pulls toward 14–15°C, with model ensembles like ECMWF/GFS reflecting this 1–2°C spread. New 12z runs expected today could refine odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 14 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 14 апреля?
16°C 25%
15°C 22%
17°C 19%
18°C 19%
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
22%
16°C
25%
17°C
19%
18°C
19%
19°C
4%
20°C или выше
5%
16°C 25%
15°C 22%
17°C 19%
18°C 19%
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
22%
16°C
25%
17°C
19%
18°C
19%
19°C
4%
20°C или выше
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 15–17°C for London's highest temperature on April 14, mirroring the latest Met Office and BBC forecasts showing maxima of 13–16°C amid sunny intervals and scattered showers. This positioning stems from a recent shift after early April's record 26.6°C heat at Kew Gardens—driven by transient high pressure—now yielding to cooler, unstable Atlantic flows with low-pressure systems introducing cloud cover and 20–60% afternoon rain chances, capping peaks per hourly guidance updated April 11. Differentiating factors include variable cloud amounts and shower timing: fuller sun favors 16–17°C, while persistent overcast pulls toward 14–15°C, with model ensembles like ECMWF/GFS reflecting this 1–2°C spread. New 12z runs expected today could refine odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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