Recent heavy monsoon rains across Uttar Pradesh, including over 16 mm in Lucknow on September 1, have produced persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and frequent thunderstorms that suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models project a maximum near 30°C on September 3 under similar conditions, with 70-90% rain probability further limiting peaks. Trader consensus clustering around 30-31°C reflects this pattern of below-normal temperatures amid active monsoon dynamics, while slight differentiation among 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of any breaks in cloud cover or localized wind shifts that could allow marginally greater warming before renewed showers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 3 сентября?
31°C 35%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
35%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
6%
31°C 35%
30°C 29%
32°C 20%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
35%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy monsoon rains across Uttar Pradesh, including over 16 mm in Lucknow on September 1, have produced persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-95%, and frequent thunderstorms that suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models project a maximum near 30°C on September 3 under similar conditions, with 70-90% rain probability further limiting peaks. Trader consensus clustering around 30-31°C reflects this pattern of below-normal temperatures amid active monsoon dynamics, while slight differentiation among 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of any breaks in cloud cover or localized wind shifts that could allow marginally greater warming before renewed showers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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