Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 98% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which project a maximum of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positioning reflects stable high-pressure conditions typical of April's dry season at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where daytime solar heating routinely pushes highs above 25°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud interference, consistent with historical April averages of 26°C. Model ensembles from SMN and international sources like NOAA show tight agreement, with recent updates over the past 24 hours confirming no incoming cooler air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloud cover reducing insolation, though current satellite observations indicate low risk; intraday temperature readings from Benito Juárez International Airport will provide final confirmation by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
23°C or higher 98.0%
22°C <1%
15°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,397 Объем
$14,397 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
98%
23°C or higher 98.0%
22°C <1%
15°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,397 Объем
$14,397 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$1,569 Объем
<1%
14°C
$2,331 Объем
<1%
15°C
$1,250 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,078 Объем
<1%
17°C
$971 Объем
<1%
18°C
$596 Объем
<1%
19°C
$934 Объем
<1%
20°C
$640 Объем
<1%
21°C
$350 Объем
<1%
22°C
$2,834 Объем
1%
23°C or higher
$1,844 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 98% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which project a maximum of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positioning reflects stable high-pressure conditions typical of April's dry season at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where daytime solar heating routinely pushes highs above 25°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud interference, consistent with historical April averages of 26°C. Model ensembles from SMN and international sources like NOAA show tight agreement, with recent updates over the past 24 hours confirming no incoming cooler air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloud cover reducing insolation, though current satellite observations indicate low risk; intraday temperature readings from Benito Juárez International Airport will provide final confirmation by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Объем
$14,397Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 98% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which project a maximum of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positioning reflects stable high-pressure conditions typical of April's dry season at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where daytime solar heating routinely pushes highs above 25°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud interference, consistent with historical April averages of 26°C. Model ensembles from SMN and international sources like NOAA show tight agreement, with recent updates over the past 24 hours confirming no incoming cooler air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloud cover reducing insolation, though current satellite observations indicate low risk; intraday temperature readings from Benito Juárez International Airport will provide final confirmation by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$14,397Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 98% implied probability, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which project a maximum of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positioning reflects stable high-pressure conditions typical of April's dry season at Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation, where daytime solar heating routinely pushes highs above 25°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud interference, consistent with historical April averages of 26°C. Model ensembles from SMN and international sources like NOAA show tight agreement, with recent updates over the past 24 hours confirming no incoming cooler air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloud cover reducing insolation, though current satellite observations indicate low risk; intraday temperature readings from Benito Juárez International Airport will provide final confirmation by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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