Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 11–13°C maximum temperatures for Munich on April 14, reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which project means near 12°C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain chances exceeding 80%. A recent shift from April 11's observed 17°C high under high-pressure ridging to an incoming upper-level trough over central Europe has introduced cooler advection and suppressed daytime heating, with boundary-layer mixing limited by overcast skies. Differentiating factors include model spreads of 2–3°C: ICON emphasizes earlier cloud breaks potentially lifting to 13–14°C, while wetter.com-derived forecasts warn of steady showers holding at 9–11°C. New 12Z runs expected within hours could refine this uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on April 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 14?
12°C 26%
13°C 25%
11°C 21%
10°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 апр. 2026 г.
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
8%
10°C
9%
11°C
21%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
3%
12°C 26%
13°C 25%
11°C 21%
10°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 апр. 2026 г.
5°C or below
$137 Объем
1%
6°C
$104 Объем
1%
7°C
$109 Объем
1%
8°C
$186 Объем
1%
9°C
$77 Объем
8%
10°C
$141 Объем
9%
11°C
$88 Объем
21%
12°C
$119 Объем
26%
13°C
$44 Объем
25%
14°C
$47 Объем
15%
15°C or higher
$26 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 11–13°C maximum temperatures for Munich on April 14, reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which project means near 12°C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain chances exceeding 80%. A recent shift from April 11's observed 17°C high under high-pressure ridging to an incoming upper-level trough over central Europe has introduced cooler advection and suppressed daytime heating, with boundary-layer mixing limited by overcast skies. Differentiating factors include model spreads of 2–3°C: ICON emphasizes earlier cloud breaks potentially lifting to 13–14°C, while wetter.com-derived forecasts warn of steady showers holding at 9–11°C. New 12Z runs expected within hours could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$1,079Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 11–13°C maximum temperatures for Munich on April 14, reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which project means near 12°C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain chances exceeding 80%. A recent shift from April 11's observed 17°C high under high-pressure ridging to an incoming upper-level trough over central Europe has introduced cooler advection and suppressed daytime heating, with boundary-layer mixing limited by overcast skies. Differentiating factors include model spreads of 2–3°C: ICON emphasizes earlier cloud breaks potentially lifting to 13–14°C, while wetter.com-derived forecasts warn of steady showers holding at 9–11°C. New 12Z runs expected within hours could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,079Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 11–13°C maximum temperatures for Munich on April 14, reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS, which project means near 12°C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain chances exceeding 80%. A recent shift from April 11's observed 17°C high under high-pressure ridging to an incoming upper-level trough over central Europe has introduced cooler advection and suppressed daytime heating, with boundary-layer mixing limited by overcast skies. Differentiating factors include model spreads of 2–3°C: ICON emphasizes earlier cloud breaks potentially lifting to 13–14°C, while wetter.com-derived forecasts warn of steady showers holding at 9–11°C. New 12Z runs expected within hours could refine this uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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