**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 28 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 28 августа?
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$5,449 Объем
$5,449 Объем
28 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$5,449 Объем
$5,449 Объем
28 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$220 Объем
No
23°C
$115 Объем
No
24°C
$1,400 Объем
Yes
25°C
$283 Объем
No
26°C
$465 Объем
No
27°C
$397 Объем
No
28°C
$595 Объем
No
29°C
$1,337 Объем
No
30°C
$383 Объем
No
31°C
$135 Объем
No
32°C or higher
$120 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$5,449Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,449Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Recent observational data from Zhengzhou meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 24°C, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome.** A surge of cooler northerly air has suppressed daytime highs well below late-August climatological norms of around 31°C, with multiple forecasts and real-time readings converging on this value amid overcast skies and light northeast winds. Official agency guidance from regional meteorological services supports limited afternoon warming potential. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders incorporating verified station reports rather than models alone. The primary risk to this positioning would be an unforecast late-day spike exceeding 24°C due to unexpected clearing or model error, though current conditions make such a shift highly improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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