Jerome Powell's transition from Fed Chair to governor shapes trader focus on the "out of Fed Board by" market. His statutory term as a Board member extends to January 2028, and Powell stated in late April 2026 that he intends to remain for an indeterminate period after stepping down as chair on May 15, pending resolution of the headquarters construction investigation with transparency. Kevin Warsh assumed the chair role in May amid ongoing administration tensions and legal challenges to Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect this base case of extended service rather than early exit, tempered by uncertainty over political pressures or voluntary departure before term end. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any new filings on the probe could shift sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$433,945 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
21%
$433,945 Объем
31 декабря
$147,353 Объем
21%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's transition from Fed Chair to governor shapes trader focus on the "out of Fed Board by" market. His statutory term as a Board member extends to January 2028, and Powell stated in late April 2026 that he intends to remain for an indeterminate period after stepping down as chair on May 15, pending resolution of the headquarters construction investigation with transparency. Kevin Warsh assumed the chair role in May amid ongoing administration tensions and legal challenges to Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect this base case of extended service rather than early exit, tempered by uncertainty over political pressures or voluntary departure before term end. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any new filings on the probe could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Объем
$433,945Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's transition from Fed Chair to governor shapes trader focus on the "out of Fed Board by" market. His statutory term as a Board member extends to January 2028, and Powell stated in late April 2026 that he intends to remain for an indeterminate period after stepping down as chair on May 15, pending resolution of the headquarters construction investigation with transparency. Kevin Warsh assumed the chair role in May amid ongoing administration tensions and legal challenges to Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect this base case of extended service rather than early exit, tempered by uncertainty over political pressures or voluntary departure before term end. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any new filings on the probe could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$433,945Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's transition from Fed Chair to governor shapes trader focus on the "out of Fed Board by" market. His statutory term as a Board member extends to January 2028, and Powell stated in late April 2026 that he intends to remain for an indeterminate period after stepping down as chair on May 15, pending resolution of the headquarters construction investigation with transparency. Kevin Warsh assumed the chair role in May amid ongoing administration tensions and legal challenges to Fed independence. Market-implied probabilities reflect this base case of extended service rather than early exit, tempered by uncertainty over political pressures or voluntary departure before term end. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any new filings on the probe could shift sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы