Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 12, 2026, will reach approximately 8°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 6–11 m/s. This aligns with the historical 1991–2020 average low of 8.6°C for the date and supports the near-even market split between 8°C and 9°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of minimum temperatures, which depends on radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer intervals enhance longwave heat loss—along with boundary-layer mixing from winds and the influence of Atlantic-sourced air masses that moderate extremes. Model consensus shows limited spread, but small shifts in observed dew points or pressure (around 748–749 mmHg) could tip the recorded minimum between these thresholds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 12 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Москве 12 сентября?
9°C 51%
4°C или ниже 50%
7°C 10%
6°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
50%
5°C
2%
6°C
6%
7°C
10%
8°C
50%
9°C
51%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C или выше
<1%
9°C 51%
4°C или ниже 50%
7°C 10%
6°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
$0 Объем
50%
5°C
$0 Объем
2%
6°C
$0 Объем
6%
7°C
$35 Объем
10%
8°C
$23 Объем
50%
9°C
$0 Объем
51%
10°C
$182 Объем
<1%
11°C
$0 Объем
<1%
12°C
$15 Объем
<1%
13°C
$15 Объем
<1%
14°C или выше
$15 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 12, 2026, will reach approximately 8°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 6–11 m/s. This aligns with the historical 1991–2020 average low of 8.6°C for the date and supports the near-even market split between 8°C and 9°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of minimum temperatures, which depends on radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer intervals enhance longwave heat loss—along with boundary-layer mixing from winds and the influence of Atlantic-sourced air masses that moderate extremes. Model consensus shows limited spread, but small shifts in observed dew points or pressure (around 748–749 mmHg) could tip the recorded minimum between these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$284Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 12, 2026, will reach approximately 8°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 6–11 m/s. This aligns with the historical 1991–2020 average low of 8.6°C for the date and supports the near-even market split between 8°C and 9°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of minimum temperatures, which depends on radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer intervals enhance longwave heat loss—along with boundary-layer mixing from winds and the influence of Atlantic-sourced air masses that moderate extremes. Model consensus shows limited spread, but small shifts in observed dew points or pressure (around 748–749 mmHg) could tip the recorded minimum between these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$284Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 12, 2026, will reach approximately 8°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 6–11 m/s. This aligns with the historical 1991–2020 average low of 8.6°C for the date and supports the near-even market split between 8°C and 9°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of minimum temperatures, which depends on radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover—clearer intervals enhance longwave heat loss—along with boundary-layer mixing from winds and the influence of Atlantic-sourced air masses that moderate extremes. Model consensus shows limited spread, but small shifts in observed dew points or pressure (around 748–749 mmHg) could tip the recorded minimum between these thresholds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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