Recent forecasts from major models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 3 will likely settle in the 15–18°C range, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities around 15–17°C. Mild southwesterly flow advects warmer Atlantic air under high pressure, limiting radiational cooling despite mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Dew points near 13–15°C and light winds further suppress temperature drops below historical averages of 13°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed the main variables that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will refine the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 3 сентября?
16°C 45%
15°C 41%
17°C 19%
14°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
13%
12°C
11%
13°C
12%
14°C
15%
15°C
26%
16°C
45%
17°C
19%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C или выше
2%
16°C 45%
15°C 41%
17°C 19%
14°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$5 Объем
13%
12°C
$20 Объем
11%
13°C
$20 Объем
12%
14°C
$0 Объем
15%
15°C
$50 Объем
26%
16°C
$816 Объем
45%
17°C
$0 Объем
19%
18°C
$0 Объем
14%
19°C
$41 Объем
5%
20°C
$5 Объем
4%
21°C или выше
$5 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 3 will likely settle in the 15–18°C range, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities around 15–17°C. Mild southwesterly flow advects warmer Atlantic air under high pressure, limiting radiational cooling despite mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Dew points near 13–15°C and light winds further suppress temperature drops below historical averages of 13°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed the main variables that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$648Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 3 will likely settle in the 15–18°C range, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities around 15–17°C. Mild southwesterly flow advects warmer Atlantic air under high pressure, limiting radiational cooling despite mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Dew points near 13–15°C and light winds further suppress temperature drops below historical averages of 13°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed the main variables that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$648Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate Paris overnight lows on September 3 will likely settle in the 15–18°C range, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities around 15–17°C. Mild southwesterly flow advects warmer Atlantic air under high pressure, limiting radiational cooling despite mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Dew points near 13–15°C and light winds further suppress temperature drops below historical averages of 13°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with minor variations in cloud cover or wind speed the main variables that could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will refine the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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