Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 2 most likely between 21–24°C, driven by northerly winds and residual moisture from a tropical cyclone remnant enhancing cloud cover and reducing radiative cooling overnight. This positions 24°C as the market leader, with moderate probabilities for nearby values reflecting typical model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Persistent northeast flow and scattered showers are limiting daytime heat retention, aligning with September climatology where lows average near 21°C but can vary several degrees with synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 2 сентября?
20°C 77%
18°C 73%
21°C 73%
22°C 73%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
17°C or below
5%
18°C
73%
19°C
47%
20°C
77%
21°C
73%
22°C
73%
23°C
73%
24°C
59%
25°C
71%
26°C
73%
27°C or higher
42%
20°C 77%
18°C 73%
21°C 73%
22°C 73%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$5 Объем
5%
18°C
$5 Объем
73%
19°C
$94 Объем
47%
20°C
$60 Объем
77%
21°C
$0 Объем
73%
22°C
$0 Объем
73%
23°C
$0 Объем
73%
24°C
$7 Объем
59%
25°C
$0 Объем
71%
26°C
$20 Объем
73%
27°C or higher
$5 Объем
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 2 most likely between 21–24°C, driven by northerly winds and residual moisture from a tropical cyclone remnant enhancing cloud cover and reducing radiative cooling overnight. This positions 24°C as the market leader, with moderate probabilities for nearby values reflecting typical model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Persistent northeast flow and scattered showers are limiting daytime heat retention, aligning with September climatology where lows average near 21°C but can vary several degrees with synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$196Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 2 most likely between 21–24°C, driven by northerly winds and residual moisture from a tropical cyclone remnant enhancing cloud cover and reducing radiative cooling overnight. This positions 24°C as the market leader, with moderate probabilities for nearby values reflecting typical model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Persistent northeast flow and scattered showers are limiting daytime heat retention, aligning with September climatology where lows average near 21°C but can vary several degrees with synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$196Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 2 most likely between 21–24°C, driven by northerly winds and residual moisture from a tropical cyclone remnant enhancing cloud cover and reducing radiative cooling overnight. This positions 24°C as the market leader, with moderate probabilities for nearby values reflecting typical model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Persistent northeast flow and scattered showers are limiting daytime heat retention, aligning with September climatology where lows average near 21°C but can vary several degrees with synoptic changes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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