The strong Democratic lean of New York's 10th congressional district, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the general election. Incumbent Representative Dan Goldman faces a competitive June 23 primary against Brad Lander, but the absence of a viable Republican challenger—after the GOP primary was canceled with only Jennifer Moore advancing—limits any realistic path for the opposing party. Historical voting patterns in this Manhattan and Brooklyn-based seat, combined with the lack of recent polling or developments suggesting a shift, reinforce expectations of a large Democratic margin. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-10
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-10
$44,544 Объем
$44,544 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
2%
$44,544 Объем
$44,544 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$12,095 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$32,449 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New York's 10th congressional district, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the general election. Incumbent Representative Dan Goldman faces a competitive June 23 primary against Brad Lander, but the absence of a viable Republican challenger—after the GOP primary was canceled with only Jennifer Moore advancing—limits any realistic path for the opposing party. Historical voting patterns in this Manhattan and Brooklyn-based seat, combined with the lack of recent polling or developments suggesting a shift, reinforce expectations of a large Democratic margin. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$44,544Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New York's 10th congressional district, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the general election. Incumbent Representative Dan Goldman faces a competitive June 23 primary against Brad Lander, but the absence of a viable Republican challenger—after the GOP primary was canceled with only Jennifer Moore advancing—limits any realistic path for the opposing party. Historical voting patterns in this Manhattan and Brooklyn-based seat, combined with the lack of recent polling or developments suggesting a shift, reinforce expectations of a large Democratic margin. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$44,544Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of New York's 10th congressional district, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid/Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the general election. Incumbent Representative Dan Goldman faces a competitive June 23 primary against Brad Lander, but the absence of a viable Republican challenger—after the GOP primary was canceled with only Jennifer Moore advancing—limits any realistic path for the opposing party. Historical voting patterns in this Manhattan and Brooklyn-based seat, combined with the lack of recent polling or developments suggesting a shift, reinforce expectations of a large Democratic margin. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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