New York’s 10th congressional district, covering parts of Manhattan and Brooklyn, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and delivered the party more than 82 percent of the vote in the prior general election. Incumbent Democrat Dan Goldman faces New York City Comptroller Brad Lander in the June 23 primary, while Republican Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed. These structural factors and the absence of meaningful Republican investment or polling support underpin the 95 percent trader consensus for a Democratic victory in November. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could technically alter the nominee, yet neither would shift the general-election outcome absent a historic realignment in voter registration or turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-10
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-10
$44,616 Объем
$44,616 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
2%
$44,616 Объем
$44,616 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$12,167 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$32,449 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th congressional district, covering parts of Manhattan and Brooklyn, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and delivered the party more than 82 percent of the vote in the prior general election. Incumbent Democrat Dan Goldman faces New York City Comptroller Brad Lander in the June 23 primary, while Republican Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed. These structural factors and the absence of meaningful Republican investment or polling support underpin the 95 percent trader consensus for a Democratic victory in November. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could technically alter the nominee, yet neither would shift the general-election outcome absent a historic realignment in voter registration or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$44,616Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th congressional district, covering parts of Manhattan and Brooklyn, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and delivered the party more than 82 percent of the vote in the prior general election. Incumbent Democrat Dan Goldman faces New York City Comptroller Brad Lander in the June 23 primary, while Republican Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed. These structural factors and the absence of meaningful Republican investment or polling support underpin the 95 percent trader consensus for a Democratic victory in November. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could technically alter the nominee, yet neither would shift the general-election outcome absent a historic realignment in voter registration or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$44,616Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 10th congressional district, covering parts of Manhattan and Brooklyn, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and delivered the party more than 82 percent of the vote in the prior general election. Incumbent Democrat Dan Goldman faces New York City Comptroller Brad Lander in the June 23 primary, while Republican Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed. These structural factors and the absence of meaningful Republican investment or polling support underpin the 95 percent trader consensus for a Democratic victory in November. A late primary upset or unforeseen scandal could technically alter the nominee, yet neither would shift the general-election outcome absent a historic realignment in voter registration or turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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