Ukrainian long-range drone strikes have repeatedly targeted the Moscow region in recent weeks, with air raid alerts triggered as recently as May 2 amid reports of incoming drones reaching the capital's vicinity and prompting interceptions by Russian air defenses. This persistent escalation follows massive Ukrainian drone barrages in late March and April, including over 280 drones in one night, while Russia has responded with record drone attacks on Ukraine, such as nearly 1,000 in 24 hours. Moscow scaled back its Victory Day military parade on May 9 citing the threat, highlighting defensive strains. Traders monitor for any successful penetrations into Moscow proper, potential retaliatory escalations, or diplomatic breakthroughs amid ongoing stalemate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоUkraine military action against Moscow by...?
Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?
$169,748 Объем
28 фев. 2026 г.
February 14
No
February 28
No
March 31
No
April 15
No
April 30
No
$169,748 Объем
February 14
$24,336 Объем
No
February 28
$91,735 Объем
No
March 31
$23,472 Объем
No
April 15
$9,871 Объем
No
April 30
$20,334 Объем
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ukrainian long-range drone strikes have repeatedly targeted the Moscow region in recent weeks, with air raid alerts triggered as recently as May 2 amid reports of incoming drones reaching the capital's vicinity and prompting interceptions by Russian air defenses. This persistent escalation follows massive Ukrainian drone barrages in late March and April, including over 280 drones in one night, while Russia has responded with record drone attacks on Ukraine, such as nearly 1,000 in 24 hours. Moscow scaled back its Victory Day military parade on May 9 citing the threat, highlighting defensive strains. Traders monitor for any successful penetrations into Moscow proper, potential retaliatory escalations, or diplomatic breakthroughs amid ongoing stalemate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Объем
$169,748Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ukrainian long-range drone strikes have repeatedly targeted the Moscow region in recent weeks, with air raid alerts triggered as recently as May 2 amid reports of incoming drones reaching the capital's vicinity and prompting interceptions by Russian air defenses. This persistent escalation follows massive Ukrainian drone barrages in late March and April, including over 280 drones in one night, while Russia has responded with record drone attacks on Ukraine, such as nearly 1,000 in 24 hours. Moscow scaled back its Victory Day military parade on May 9 citing the threat, highlighting defensive strains. Traders monitor for any successful penetrations into Moscow proper, potential retaliatory escalations, or diplomatic breakthroughs amid ongoing stalemate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$169,748Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Ukrainian long-range drone strikes have repeatedly targeted the Moscow region in recent weeks, with air raid alerts triggered as recently as May 2 amid reports of incoming drones reaching the capital's vicinity and prompting interceptions by Russian air defenses. This persistent escalation follows massive Ukrainian drone barrages in late March and April, including over 280 drones in one night, while Russia has responded with record drone attacks on Ukraine, such as nearly 1,000 in 24 hours. Moscow scaled back its Victory Day military parade on May 9 citing the threat, highlighting defensive strains. Traders monitor for any successful penetrations into Moscow proper, potential retaliatory escalations, or diplomatic breakthroughs amid ongoing stalemate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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