Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data show a narrowing deficit, with April 2026 figures at $55.9 billion after modest narrowing from March, driven by stronger exports of capital goods and industrial supplies alongside tariff-adjusted import levels. Ongoing effects from 2025 tariff expansions under reciprocal trade policies have reduced goods imports from key partners like China while supporting some export recovery, consistent with year-to-date trends below prior-year averages. CBO projections indicate the annual deficit continuing to decline as a share of GDP through 2026 due to slower import growth and dollar depreciation, though full-year results remain sensitive to policy implementation, global demand, and supply-chain adjustments. Trader positioning around the 800–900B range reflects these measured contraction signals amid ongoing uncertainty in bilateral flows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$21,261 Объем
$21,261 Объем
28 фев. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
5%
500–600 млрд
4%
600–700 млрд
9%
700–800 млрд
10%
800–900 млрд
36%
900 млрд – 1 трлн
19%
1–1,1 трлн
5%
1,1 трлн+
5%
$21,261 Объем
$21,261 Объем
28 фев. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
$16,813 Объем
5%
500–600 млрд
$413 Объем
4%
600–700 млрд
$505 Объем
9%
700–800 млрд
$456 Объем
10%
800–900 млрд
$1,008 Объем
36%
900 млрд – 1 трлн
$984 Объем
19%
1–1,1 трлн
$447 Объем
5%
1,1 трлн+
$635 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data show a narrowing deficit, with April 2026 figures at $55.9 billion after modest narrowing from March, driven by stronger exports of capital goods and industrial supplies alongside tariff-adjusted import levels. Ongoing effects from 2025 tariff expansions under reciprocal trade policies have reduced goods imports from key partners like China while supporting some export recovery, consistent with year-to-date trends below prior-year averages. CBO projections indicate the annual deficit continuing to decline as a share of GDP through 2026 due to slower import growth and dollar depreciation, though full-year results remain sensitive to policy implementation, global demand, and supply-chain adjustments. Trader positioning around the 800–900B range reflects these measured contraction signals amid ongoing uncertainty in bilateral flows.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$21,261Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data show a narrowing deficit, with April 2026 figures at $55.9 billion after modest narrowing from March, driven by stronger exports of capital goods and industrial supplies alongside tariff-adjusted import levels. Ongoing effects from 2025 tariff expansions under reciprocal trade policies have reduced goods imports from key partners like China while supporting some export recovery, consistent with year-to-date trends below prior-year averages. CBO projections indicate the annual deficit continuing to decline as a share of GDP through 2026 due to slower import growth and dollar depreciation, though full-year results remain sensitive to policy implementation, global demand, and supply-chain adjustments. Trader positioning around the 800–900B range reflects these measured contraction signals amid ongoing uncertainty in bilateral flows.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Объем
$21,261Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data show a narrowing deficit, with April 2026 figures at $55.9 billion after modest narrowing from March, driven by stronger exports of capital goods and industrial supplies alongside tariff-adjusted import levels. Ongoing effects from 2025 tariff expansions under reciprocal trade policies have reduced goods imports from key partners like China while supporting some export recovery, consistent with year-to-date trends below prior-year averages. CBO projections indicate the annual deficit continuing to decline as a share of GDP through 2026 due to slower import growth and dollar depreciation, though full-year results remain sensitive to policy implementation, global demand, and supply-chain adjustments. Trader positioning around the 800–900B range reflects these measured contraction signals amid ongoing uncertainty in bilateral flows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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