Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Warner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the August 4 primary, while Republican Bert Mizusawa emerged as the nominee after defeating two challengers. Recent polls show Warner leading by double digits amid substantial fundraising advantages and Virginia's recent voting patterns favoring Democrats in federal contests. Trader pricing incorporates these structural factors, including incumbency and limited Republican momentum so far. Potential shifts could arise from major late-cycle events such as scandals, health developments, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Вирджинии
Победитель выборов в Сенат Вирджинии
$16,798 Объем
$16,798 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
95%
Республиканец
5%
$16,798 Объем
$16,798 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$10,075 Объем
95%
Республиканец
$6,723 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Warner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the August 4 primary, while Republican Bert Mizusawa emerged as the nominee after defeating two challengers. Recent polls show Warner leading by double digits amid substantial fundraising advantages and Virginia's recent voting patterns favoring Democrats in federal contests. Trader pricing incorporates these structural factors, including incumbency and limited Republican momentum so far. Potential shifts could arise from major late-cycle events such as scandals, health developments, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$16,798Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Warner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the August 4 primary, while Republican Bert Mizusawa emerged as the nominee after defeating two challengers. Recent polls show Warner leading by double digits amid substantial fundraising advantages and Virginia's recent voting patterns favoring Democrats in federal contests. Trader pricing incorporates these structural factors, including incumbency and limited Republican momentum so far. Potential shifts could arise from major late-cycle events such as scandals, health developments, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$16,798Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Warner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the August 4 primary, while Republican Bert Mizusawa emerged as the nominee after defeating two challengers. Recent polls show Warner leading by double digits amid substantial fundraising advantages and Virginia's recent voting patterns favoring Democrats in federal contests. Trader pricing incorporates these structural factors, including incumbency and limited Republican momentum so far. Potential shifts could arise from major late-cycle events such as scandals, health developments, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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