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Политика·Трамп

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

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Политика·Трамп

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

апр. 30

апр. 30

$52,744 Объем

30 апр. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$52,744 Объем

Polymarket
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's recent public spat with Pope Leo XIV, sparked by an AI-generated image posted on April 12 mocking the pontiff's appearance amid papal criticism of U.S. military actions in Iran, has heightened trader focus on his rhetorical patterns. The image, deleted the next day, drew backlash from Catholic leaders worldwide, exemplifying Trump's style of personal attacks via social media. Earlier, on March 31, he slammed UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and French President Macron as "very unhelpful" over Iran war support, amid escalating U.S. strikes. With 15 days until April 30, traders monitor Truth Social posts, speeches, and rallies for qualifying personal insults—derogatory labels like "weak" or "stupid" targeting rivals like Biden or Obama—excluding policy critiques. Ongoing Mideast tensions could prompt further barbs at allies or domestic critics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$52,744
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's recent public spat with Pope Leo XIV, sparked by an AI-generated image posted on April 12 mocking the pontiff's appearance amid papal criticism of U.S. military actions in Iran, has heightened trader focus on his rhetorical patterns. The image, deleted the next day, drew backlash from Catholic leaders worldwide, exemplifying Trump's style of personal attacks via social media. Earlier, on March 31, he slammed UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and French President Macron as "very unhelpful" over Iran war support, amid escalating U.S. strikes. With 15 days until April 30, traders monitor Truth Social posts, speeches, and rallies for qualifying personal insults—derogatory labels like "weak" or "stupid" targeting rivals like Biden or Obama—excluding policy critiques. Ongoing Mideast tensions could prompt further barbs at allies or domestic critics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$52,744
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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«Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Joe Biden» с 98%, за ним следует «Barack Obama» с 64%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $52.7K с момента запуска рынка Apr 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?» — «Joe Biden» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Barack Obama» с 64%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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