President Donald Trump's Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" on April 12—have dominated recent discourse, triggered by the pontiff's Easter appeals for de-escalation in the Iran conflict where U.S. forces enforce a naval blockade. Backlash from Catholic bishops, European leaders like Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (whom Trump swiftly criticized in reply), and former allies underscores his pattern of rapid, public retorts to critics. Traders assess probabilities based on this high-volume posting rhythm, ongoing Iran tensions, and potential upcoming addresses or interviews before the April 30 cutoff, amid historical precedents of Trump's frequent jabs at opponents, media, and skeptical foreign figures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$62,051 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
Кейр Стармер
63%
Барак Обама
67%
Марджори Тейлор Грин
49%
Папа Лев XIV
28%
Такер Карлсон
30%
Мегин Келли
29%
Алекс Джонс
14%
Пэм Бонди
8%
Биньямин Нетаньяху
5%
Илон Маск
3%
Виктор Орбан
2%
Владимир Путин
2%
Дж. Д. Вэнс
2%
Си Цзиньпин
2%
Мелания Трамп
1%
Кэндис Оуэнс
43%
$62,051 Объем
Кейр Стармер
$42 Объем
63%
Барак Обама
$1,683 Объем
67%
Марджори Тейлор Грин
$167 Объем
49%
Папа Лев XIV
$1,714 Объем
28%
Такер Карлсон
$763 Объем
30%
Мегин Келли
$0 Объем
29%
Алекс Джонс
$1,314 Объем
14%
Пэм Бонди
$451 Объем
8%
Биньямин Нетаньяху
$6,047 Объем
5%
Илон Маск
$842 Объем
3%
Виктор Орбан
$3,341 Объем
2%
Владимир Путин
$1,464 Объем
2%
Дж. Д. Вэнс
$5,284 Объем
2%
Си Цзиньпин
$6,195 Объем
2%
Мелания Трамп
$5,306 Объем
1%
Кэндис Оуэнс
$47 Объем
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" on April 12—have dominated recent discourse, triggered by the pontiff's Easter appeals for de-escalation in the Iran conflict where U.S. forces enforce a naval blockade. Backlash from Catholic bishops, European leaders like Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (whom Trump swiftly criticized in reply), and former allies underscores his pattern of rapid, public retorts to critics. Traders assess probabilities based on this high-volume posting rhythm, ongoing Iran tensions, and potential upcoming addresses or interviews before the April 30 cutoff, amid historical precedents of Trump's frequent jabs at opponents, media, and skeptical foreign figures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Объем
$62,051Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" on April 12—have dominated recent discourse, triggered by the pontiff's Easter appeals for de-escalation in the Iran conflict where U.S. forces enforce a naval blockade. Backlash from Catholic bishops, European leaders like Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (whom Trump swiftly criticized in reply), and former allies underscores his pattern of rapid, public retorts to critics. Traders assess probabilities based on this high-volume posting rhythm, ongoing Iran tensions, and potential upcoming addresses or interviews before the April 30 cutoff, amid historical precedents of Trump's frequent jabs at opponents, media, and skeptical foreign figures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$62,051Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" on April 12—have dominated recent discourse, triggered by the pontiff's Easter appeals for de-escalation in the Iran conflict where U.S. forces enforce a naval blockade. Backlash from Catholic bishops, European leaders like Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (whom Trump swiftly criticized in reply), and former allies underscores his pattern of rapid, public retorts to critics. Traders assess probabilities based on this high-volume posting rhythm, ongoing Iran tensions, and potential upcoming addresses or interviews before the April 30 cutoff, amid historical precedents of Trump's frequent jabs at opponents, media, and skeptical foreign figures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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