Recent inflation data and Federal Reserve communications have anchored trader sentiment around a modest chance of at least one 2026 rate hike. The July CPI print eased to 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, yet remains well above the 2% target amid lingering energy pressures, while the July FOMC statement held the funds rate at 3.5–3.75% on a 9-3 vote that included three dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point increase. This split, combined with resilient economic growth and futures-implied pricing for potential tightening by December, supports the current 55.5% market-implied probability for a hike before year-end. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming August CPI release stand as the next key catalysts that could shift the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
55% โอกาส
$7,881,482 ปริมาณ
$7,881,482 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
ใช่
55% โอกาส
$7,881,482 ปริมาณ
$7,881,482 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation data and Federal Reserve communications have anchored trader sentiment around a modest chance of at least one 2026 rate hike. The July CPI print eased to 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, yet remains well above the 2% target amid lingering energy pressures, while the July FOMC statement held the funds rate at 3.5–3.75% on a 9-3 vote that included three dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point increase. This split, combined with resilient economic growth and futures-implied pricing for potential tightening by December, supports the current 55.5% market-implied probability for a hike before year-end. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming August CPI release stand as the next key catalysts that could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,881,482วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation data and Federal Reserve communications have anchored trader sentiment around a modest chance of at least one 2026 rate hike. The July CPI print eased to 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, yet remains well above the 2% target amid lingering energy pressures, while the July FOMC statement held the funds rate at 3.5–3.75% on a 9-3 vote that included three dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point increase. This split, combined with resilient economic growth and futures-implied pricing for potential tightening by December, supports the current 55.5% market-implied probability for a hike before year-end. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming August CPI release stand as the next key catalysts that could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,881,482วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation data and Federal Reserve communications have anchored trader sentiment around a modest chance of at least one 2026 rate hike. The July CPI print eased to 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, yet remains well above the 2% target amid lingering energy pressures, while the July FOMC statement held the funds rate at 3.5–3.75% on a 9-3 vote that included three dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point increase. This split, combined with resilient economic growth and futures-implied pricing for potential tightening by December, supports the current 55.5% market-implied probability for a hike before year-end. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting and upcoming August CPI release stand as the next key catalysts that could shift the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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