**Recent high-resolution model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak temperature of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow.** This aligns with the market's strong 64.5% implied probability for 30°C, as daytime heating under high pressure and low humidity supports afternoon maxima near that threshold, consistent with recent above-average conditions in early September. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside to 31°C or downside to 29°C due to stable steering patterns and minimal cloud cover expected. Official observations from Esenboğa Airport and final model runs tonight will determine resolution, while climatological normals for the date sit several degrees lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
30°C 66%
31°C 23%
29°C 11%
27°C 2%
ใหม่
$11,919 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,919 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
66%
31°C
23%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 66%
31°C 23%
29°C 11%
27°C 2%
ใหม่
$11,919 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,919 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
$1,128 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$361 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$433 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$101 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$378 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$1,670 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$3,740 ปริมาณ
66%
31°C
$2,843 ปริมาณ
23%
32°C
$860 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C or higher
$379 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent high-resolution model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak temperature of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow.** This aligns with the market's strong 64.5% implied probability for 30°C, as daytime heating under high pressure and low humidity supports afternoon maxima near that threshold, consistent with recent above-average conditions in early September. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside to 31°C or downside to 29°C due to stable steering patterns and minimal cloud cover expected. Official observations from Esenboğa Airport and final model runs tonight will determine resolution, while climatological normals for the date sit several degrees lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,919วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent high-resolution model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak temperature of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow.** This aligns with the market's strong 64.5% implied probability for 30°C, as daytime heating under high pressure and low humidity supports afternoon maxima near that threshold, consistent with recent above-average conditions in early September. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside to 31°C or downside to 29°C due to stable steering patterns and minimal cloud cover expected. Official observations from Esenboğa Airport and final model runs tonight will determine resolution, while climatological normals for the date sit several degrees lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,919วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent high-resolution model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a peak temperature of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow.** This aligns with the market's strong 64.5% implied probability for 30°C, as daytime heating under high pressure and low humidity supports afternoon maxima near that threshold, consistent with recent above-average conditions in early September. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside to 31°C or downside to 29°C due to stable steering patterns and minimal cloud cover expected. Official observations from Esenboğa Airport and final model runs tonight will determine resolution, while climatological normals for the date sit several degrees lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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