Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 12?
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$65,964 ปริมาณ
$65,964 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$65,964 ปริมาณ
$65,964 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
13°C or below
$1,546 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$610 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,270 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$4,233 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$6,881 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$5,720 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$6,018 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$8,138 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$4,735 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$10,509 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C or higher
$16,304 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 10, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,964วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:51 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,964วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:51 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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