Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 5?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$106,351 ปริมาณ
$106,351 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$106,351 ปริมาณ
$106,351 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
25°C or below
$9,116 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,813 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$3,359 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$11,373 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$7,284 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$9,854 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$11,429 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$10,292 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$18,134 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$14,583 ปริมาณ
No
35°C or higher
$9,115 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106,351วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106,351วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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