The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 31?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 31?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$266,570 ปริมาณ
$266,570 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$266,570 ปริมาณ
$266,570 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
22°C or below
$2,341 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$441 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,441 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$441 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,468 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$8,737 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$14,066 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$61,109 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$105,486 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$29,072 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$41,967 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$266,570วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$266,570วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The market's near-certain consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on May 31 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum observation, which aligned precisely with that threshold following several days of extreme heat. An upper-level anticyclone had driven peak readings of 33–34°C earlier in the week, but moderating influences including increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift in steering patterns lowered the afternoon maximum on the 31st. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–30°C, providing context for why traders viewed this outcome as locked in once preliminary data emerged. Only a late revision to the official record or station-specific measurement discrepancy could alter resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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