Jinan’s mid-August subtropical climate, driven by peak solar insolation and regional monsoon patterns, produces typical daily maximum temperatures of 30–34 °C according to NOAA-aligned climatology and recent China Meteorological Administration observations. Multiple forecast models and agency briefings for 16 August 2026 consistently project highs near 31–33 °C, well above the 26 °C threshold, with ongoing regional heat advisories reinforcing the pattern. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 100 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Only an unseasonal cold-front intrusion or major observational revision could alter the outcome, both of which are climatologically improbable on this date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jinan on August 16?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 16?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
16°C or below
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$216 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$472 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jinan’s mid-August subtropical climate, driven by peak solar insolation and regional monsoon patterns, produces typical daily maximum temperatures of 30–34 °C according to NOAA-aligned climatology and recent China Meteorological Administration observations. Multiple forecast models and agency briefings for 16 August 2026 consistently project highs near 31–33 °C, well above the 26 °C threshold, with ongoing regional heat advisories reinforcing the pattern. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 100 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Only an unseasonal cold-front intrusion or major observational revision could alter the outcome, both of which are climatologically improbable on this date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$948วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jinan’s mid-August subtropical climate, driven by peak solar insolation and regional monsoon patterns, produces typical daily maximum temperatures of 30–34 °C according to NOAA-aligned climatology and recent China Meteorological Administration observations. Multiple forecast models and agency briefings for 16 August 2026 consistently project highs near 31–33 °C, well above the 26 °C threshold, with ongoing regional heat advisories reinforcing the pattern. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 100 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Only an unseasonal cold-front intrusion or major observational revision could alter the outcome, both of which are climatologically improbable on this date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$948วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jinan’s mid-August subtropical climate, driven by peak solar insolation and regional monsoon patterns, produces typical daily maximum temperatures of 30–34 °C according to NOAA-aligned climatology and recent China Meteorological Administration observations. Multiple forecast models and agency briefings for 16 August 2026 consistently project highs near 31–33 °C, well above the 26 °C threshold, with ongoing regional heat advisories reinforcing the pattern. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 100 % implied probability for 26 °C or higher. Only an unseasonal cold-front intrusion or major observational revision could alter the outcome, both of which are climatologically improbable on this date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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