Recent forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s State Meteorological Agency converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Madrid under a persistent high-pressure ridge that advects warmer air northward from North Africa. Stable subsidence and light winds limit convective mixing, keeping temperature variability low and supporting the near-certain market-implied outcome. Official guidance through the afternoon shows minimal risk of exceeding this threshold, though any late-day shift in the ridge axis or localized urban heat-island effects could still allow a reading of 33°C. Updated model runs later today will provide the final confirmation before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on May 21?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 21?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$76,136 ปริมาณ
$76,136 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$76,136 ปริมาณ
$76,136 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
26°C or below
$2,947 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$918 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$4,154 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$4,706 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$8,739 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$14,224 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$14,025 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C
$10,621 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$7,512 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$4,928 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$3,364 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s State Meteorological Agency converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Madrid under a persistent high-pressure ridge that advects warmer air northward from North Africa. Stable subsidence and light winds limit convective mixing, keeping temperature variability low and supporting the near-certain market-implied outcome. Official guidance through the afternoon shows minimal risk of exceeding this threshold, though any late-day shift in the ridge axis or localized urban heat-island effects could still allow a reading of 33°C. Updated model runs later today will provide the final confirmation before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 19, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,136วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 12:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s State Meteorological Agency converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Madrid under a persistent high-pressure ridge that advects warmer air northward from North Africa. Stable subsidence and light winds limit convective mixing, keeping temperature variability low and supporting the near-certain market-implied outcome. Official guidance through the afternoon shows minimal risk of exceeding this threshold, though any late-day shift in the ridge axis or localized urban heat-island effects could still allow a reading of 33°C. Updated model runs later today will provide the final confirmation before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76,136วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 12:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s State Meteorological Agency converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C in Madrid under a persistent high-pressure ridge that advects warmer air northward from North Africa. Stable subsidence and light winds limit convective mixing, keeping temperature variability low and supporting the near-certain market-implied outcome. Official guidance through the afternoon shows minimal risk of exceeding this threshold, though any late-day shift in the ridge axis or localized urban heat-island effects could still allow a reading of 33°C. Updated model runs later today will provide the final confirmation before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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