Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts positions a maximum of 17°C as the most likely outcome for Moscow on September 12, reflected in the 50.5% market-implied probability. Mid-September climatology for the region shows average daily highs near 16–18°C, with current steering patterns and surface conditions favoring limited diurnal warming. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty, with probabilities for 16°C and 18°C capturing potential model disagreements on cloud cover and advection. Official observations from Moscow stations will resolve the market once finalized, typically within 24 hours of the period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on September 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 12?
17°C 52%
16°C 29%
18°C 15%
15°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
29%
17°C
52%
18°C
15%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 52%
16°C 29%
18°C 15%
15°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
$239 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$69 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$52 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$200 ปริมาณ
4%
16°C
$323 ปริมาณ
29%
17°C
$747 ปริมาณ
52%
18°C
$78 ปริมาณ
15%
19°C
$55 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$405 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C or higher
$239 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts positions a maximum of 17°C as the most likely outcome for Moscow on September 12, reflected in the 50.5% market-implied probability. Mid-September climatology for the region shows average daily highs near 16–18°C, with current steering patterns and surface conditions favoring limited diurnal warming. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty, with probabilities for 16°C and 18°C capturing potential model disagreements on cloud cover and advection. Official observations from Moscow stations will resolve the market once finalized, typically within 24 hours of the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,447วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts positions a maximum of 17°C as the most likely outcome for Moscow on September 12, reflected in the 50.5% market-implied probability. Mid-September climatology for the region shows average daily highs near 16–18°C, with current steering patterns and surface conditions favoring limited diurnal warming. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty, with probabilities for 16°C and 18°C capturing potential model disagreements on cloud cover and advection. Official observations from Moscow stations will resolve the market once finalized, typically within 24 hours of the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,447วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts positions a maximum of 17°C as the most likely outcome for Moscow on September 12, reflected in the 50.5% market-implied probability. Mid-September climatology for the region shows average daily highs near 16–18°C, with current steering patterns and surface conditions favoring limited diurnal warming. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty, with probabilities for 16°C and 18°C capturing potential model disagreements on cloud cover and advection. Official observations from Moscow stations will resolve the market once finalized, typically within 24 hours of the period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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