Recent forecast runs from multiple models show Munich's September 18 maximum stabilizing near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and minimal precipitation risk after the cooler, showery pattern of September 17. This follows a brief warm surge mid-month driven by southerly flow that lifted readings above 25°C, now giving way to more typical mid-September conditions with daytime highs aligning closely to the 19.4°C climatological average. Model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps the distribution tight around the 19–23°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning, while the low probability assigned to 25°C+ or sub-18°C reflects limited scope for rapid advection changes or clear-sky radiative warming in the short 48-hour window. Updated guidance from agencies such as the German Weather Service will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 18?
22°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C 38%
23°C 27%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
16%
19°C
26%
20°C
38%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
4%
22°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C 38%
23°C 27%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
16%
19°C
26%
20°C
38%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from multiple models show Munich's September 18 maximum stabilizing near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and minimal precipitation risk after the cooler, showery pattern of September 17. This follows a brief warm surge mid-month driven by southerly flow that lifted readings above 25°C, now giving way to more typical mid-September conditions with daytime highs aligning closely to the 19.4°C climatological average. Model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps the distribution tight around the 19–23°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning, while the low probability assigned to 25°C+ or sub-18°C reflects limited scope for rapid advection changes or clear-sky radiative warming in the short 48-hour window. Updated guidance from agencies such as the German Weather Service will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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