Traders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
24°C 44%
23°C 27%
25°C 19%
22°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
27%
24°C
44%
25°C
19%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 44%
23°C 27%
25°C 19%
22°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$4 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$24 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$12 ปริมาณ
11%
23°C
$33 ปริมาณ
27%
24°C
$4 ปริมาณ
44%
25°C
$30 ปริมาณ
19%
26°C
$14 ปริมาณ
8%
27°C
$4 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$58 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C or higher
$16 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$205วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$205วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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