Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 17?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$125,532 ปริมาณ
$125,532 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$125,532 ปริมาณ
$125,532 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,205 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,859 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$15,466 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$12,800 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$22,362 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$14,124 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$12,099 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$9,920 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$11,330 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$13,457 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$10,909 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125,532วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$125,532วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from agencies monitoring Shenzhen confirm that the daily maximum temperature on June 17 reached exactly 27°C under prevailing atmospheric conditions of moderate humidity, limited solar heating due to cloud cover, and stable southerly flow. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for the 27°C outcome, as real-time station data and model consensus converged on this value well before resolution. Historical June climatology for the region shows typical highs near 29–31°C, making today's reading slightly below average and reinforcing trader certainty. The primary risk to this positioning would be a post hoc quality-control revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected microscale heat spike, though both remain improbable given multiple overlapping sensor networks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย