Current short-term forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 20 likely between 14–16°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–15°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, dew point, or urban heat island effects at the official measurement site can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 14°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed without strong directional bias. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Ankara on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 20?
11°C 39%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
12°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
5%
11°C
39%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
21%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
11°C 39%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
12°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
14°C
$22 ปริมาณ
22%
15°C
$44 ปริมาณ
21%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 20 likely between 14–16°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–15°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, dew point, or urban heat island effects at the official measurement site can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 14°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed without strong directional bias. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 20 likely between 14–16°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–15°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, dew point, or urban heat island effects at the official measurement site can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 14°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed without strong directional bias. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models indicate a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 20 likely between 14–16°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–15°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, dew point, or urban heat island effects at the official measurement site can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 14°C, providing a baseline, while the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed without strong directional bias. Updated model runs tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย