Recent forecast models from sources like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and others indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 13 around 21–22°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain chances, and moderating winds that limit overnight radiative cooling amid the seasonal transition from summer heat. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of official station data amid typical September variability where daily lows average near 22°C. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine these estimates as conditions evolve overnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 13?
21°C 47%
17°C or below 36%
18°C 35%
23°C 35%
17°C or below
36%
18°C
35%
19°C
21%
20°C
22%
21°C
47%
22°C
28%
23°C
35%
24°C
30%
25°C
35%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
35%
21°C 47%
17°C or below 36%
18°C 35%
23°C 35%
17°C or below
36%
18°C
35%
19°C
21%
20°C
22%
21°C
47%
22°C
28%
23°C
35%
24°C
30%
25°C
35%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and others indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 13 around 21–22°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain chances, and moderating winds that limit overnight radiative cooling amid the seasonal transition from summer heat. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 21°C and 22°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of official station data amid typical September variability where daily lows average near 22°C. Upcoming model updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could refine these estimates as conditions evolve overnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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