Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 point to northwest winds of force 4-5, generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, and a daily temperature range of 26-31°C, shaped by the combined effects of Tropical Cyclone Sadler lingering over the northeastern South China Sea and the northeast monsoon. These conditions limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and mixing, producing market-implied odds centered on a 25-26°C minimum. Subtle differences between those leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control how much the surface can cool before sunrise. An emerging El Niño episode supports the broader seasonal tendency toward normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet the immediate synoptic pattern dominates the short-term outlook. Updated HKO guidance and model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?
26°C 41%
25°C 34%
24°C 10%
27°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
34%
26°C
41%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
8%
26°C 41%
25°C 34%
24°C 10%
27°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
$111 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$111 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$492 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$71 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$464 ปริมาณ
10%
25°C
$1,046 ปริมาณ
34%
26°C
$475 ปริมาณ
41%
27°C
$537 ปริมาณ
10%
28°C
$363 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$1,017 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 point to northwest winds of force 4-5, generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, and a daily temperature range of 26-31°C, shaped by the combined effects of Tropical Cyclone Sadler lingering over the northeastern South China Sea and the northeast monsoon. These conditions limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and mixing, producing market-implied odds centered on a 25-26°C minimum. Subtle differences between those leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control how much the surface can cool before sunrise. An emerging El Niño episode supports the broader seasonal tendency toward normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet the immediate synoptic pattern dominates the short-term outlook. Updated HKO guidance and model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,611วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 point to northwest winds of force 4-5, generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, and a daily temperature range of 26-31°C, shaped by the combined effects of Tropical Cyclone Sadler lingering over the northeastern South China Sea and the northeast monsoon. These conditions limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and mixing, producing market-implied odds centered on a 25-26°C minimum. Subtle differences between those leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control how much the surface can cool before sunrise. An emerging El Niño episode supports the broader seasonal tendency toward normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet the immediate synoptic pattern dominates the short-term outlook. Updated HKO guidance and model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,611วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 3 point to northwest winds of force 4-5, generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, and a daily temperature range of 26-31°C, shaped by the combined effects of Tropical Cyclone Sadler lingering over the northeastern South China Sea and the northeast monsoon. These conditions limit daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and mixing, producing market-implied odds centered on a 25-26°C minimum. Subtle differences between those leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control how much the surface can cool before sunrise. An emerging El Niño episode supports the broader seasonal tendency toward normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet the immediate synoptic pattern dominates the short-term outlook. Updated HKO guidance and model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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