Recent forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Observatory and international models (including Met Office and Yr.no) indicate a minimum temperature of 21–23°C for August 28, driven by lingering subtropical high influence, expected afternoon thunderstorms, and moderating northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This consensus supports the 49% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher while explaining elevated odds around 21–20°C outcomes amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Recent above-average August warmth, with daily lows mostly 22–26°C, reinforces trader positioning away from extremes below 17°C, though cloud cover and precipitation variability introduce uncertainty in exact nighttime minima. Updated model runs ahead of landfall-like frontal passages could shift these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Jinan on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 28?
12°C or below 59%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
17°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
59%
13°C
43%
14°C
43%
15°C
43%
16°C
43%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C or higher
49%
12°C or below 59%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
17°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
59%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
22°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Observatory and international models (including Met Office and Yr.no) indicate a minimum temperature of 21–23°C for August 28, driven by lingering subtropical high influence, expected afternoon thunderstorms, and moderating northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This consensus supports the 49% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher while explaining elevated odds around 21–20°C outcomes amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Recent above-average August warmth, with daily lows mostly 22–26°C, reinforces trader positioning away from extremes below 17°C, though cloud cover and precipitation variability introduce uncertainty in exact nighttime minima. Updated model runs ahead of landfall-like frontal passages could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Observatory and international models (including Met Office and Yr.no) indicate a minimum temperature of 21–23°C for August 28, driven by lingering subtropical high influence, expected afternoon thunderstorms, and moderating northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This consensus supports the 49% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher while explaining elevated odds around 21–20°C outcomes amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Recent above-average August warmth, with daily lows mostly 22–26°C, reinforces trader positioning away from extremes below 17°C, though cloud cover and precipitation variability introduce uncertainty in exact nighttime minima. Updated model runs ahead of landfall-like frontal passages could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Observatory and international models (including Met Office and Yr.no) indicate a minimum temperature of 21–23°C for August 28, driven by lingering subtropical high influence, expected afternoon thunderstorms, and moderating northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This consensus supports the 49% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher while explaining elevated odds around 21–20°C outcomes amid typical model spread of 1–2°C. Recent above-average August warmth, with daily lows mostly 22–26°C, reinforces trader positioning away from extremes below 17°C, though cloud cover and precipitation variability introduce uncertainty in exact nighttime minima. Updated model runs ahead of landfall-like frontal passages could shift these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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