Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance indicates a minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 likely between 13–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and low precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological norms near 11°C while reflecting current high-pressure influence moderating overnight radiative cooling. Trader balance between the 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher outcomes at 50% each, alongside 20% odds across 11–19°C, stems from typical 2–3°C forecast spread at this lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could tip the overnight low. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 20?
15°C 40%
13°C 39%
11°C 38%
12°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
25%
11°C
38%
12°C
38%
13°C
39%
14°C
31%
15°C
40%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 40%
13°C 39%
11°C 38%
12°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance indicates a minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 likely between 13–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and low precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological norms near 11°C while reflecting current high-pressure influence moderating overnight radiative cooling. Trader balance between the 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher outcomes at 50% each, alongside 20% odds across 11–19°C, stems from typical 2–3°C forecast spread at this lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could tip the overnight low. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance indicates a minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 likely between 13–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and low precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological norms near 11°C while reflecting current high-pressure influence moderating overnight radiative cooling. Trader balance between the 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher outcomes at 50% each, alongside 20% odds across 11–19°C, stems from typical 2–3°C forecast spread at this lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could tip the overnight low. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and European guidance indicates a minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 likely between 13–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and low precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological norms near 11°C while reflecting current high-pressure influence moderating overnight radiative cooling. Trader balance between the 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher outcomes at 50% each, alongside 20% odds across 11–19°C, stems from typical 2–3°C forecast spread at this lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could tip the overnight low. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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