Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Qingdao’s September 12 low reflects the city’s coastal maritime influence, where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling through persistent southerly flow and moderate humidity near 50–60%. Forecasts indicate light winds and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative heat loss, keeping minimums above typical mid-September values near 18°C while preventing drops below 17°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression create the tight spread between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with any late-day clearing or slight wind shift able to tip the overnight low by 1°C. Historical September averages of 18–19°C provide context, and final official readings from local stations will resolve the market once diurnal cooling completes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 12?
15°C or below 90%
16°C 90%
18°C 51%
17°C 42%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
42%
18°C
51%
19°C
51%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 90%
16°C 90%
18°C 51%
17°C 42%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
$66 ปริมาณ
90%
16°C
$32 ปริมาณ
90%
17°C
$27 ปริมาณ
42%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
19°C
$70 ปริมาณ
51%
20°C
$386 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$25 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$25 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$25 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$25 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$25 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Qingdao’s September 12 low reflects the city’s coastal maritime influence, where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling through persistent southerly flow and moderate humidity near 50–60%. Forecasts indicate light winds and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative heat loss, keeping minimums above typical mid-September values near 18°C while preventing drops below 17°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression create the tight spread between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with any late-day clearing or slight wind shift able to tip the overnight low by 1°C. Historical September averages of 18–19°C provide context, and final official readings from local stations will resolve the market once diurnal cooling completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$706วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Qingdao’s September 12 low reflects the city’s coastal maritime influence, where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling through persistent southerly flow and moderate humidity near 50–60%. Forecasts indicate light winds and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative heat loss, keeping minimums above typical mid-September values near 18°C while preventing drops below 17°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression create the tight spread between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with any late-day clearing or slight wind shift able to tip the overnight low by 1°C. Historical September averages of 18–19°C provide context, and final official readings from local stations will resolve the market once diurnal cooling completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$706วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 18–19°C for Qingdao’s September 12 low reflects the city’s coastal maritime influence, where the Yellow Sea moderates overnight cooling through persistent southerly flow and moderate humidity near 50–60%. Forecasts indicate light winds and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative heat loss, keeping minimums above typical mid-September values near 18°C while preventing drops below 17°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression create the tight spread between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with any late-day clearing or slight wind shift able to tip the overnight low by 1°C. Historical September averages of 18–19°C provide context, and final official readings from local stations will resolve the market once diurnal cooling completes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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