Recent June producer price data showed an unexpected 0.3% monthly decline in final demand PPI, driven by a 1.4% drop in goods prices and sharp energy cost pullbacks, pushing the year-over-year rate to 5.5%—well below the 6.2% consensus. This cooling, alongside a parallel CPI decline to 3.5% YoY, has reinforced expectations for continued moderation in wholesale inflation, positioning the ≤5.1% outcome as the dominant market-implied probability at 63.5%. Core measures excluding food and energy also eased, reflecting subdued pipeline pressures ahead of the August 13 release. Traders appear to be pricing in sustained energy price relief and limited pass-through from prior months, though any rebound in commodities could alter the path.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update≤5.1% 64%
5.2% 11%
5.4% 9.8%
5.3% 7.7%
$38,653 Vol.
$38,653 Vol.
≤5.1%
64%
5.2%
11%
5.3%
8%
5.4%
10%
5.5%
3%
5.6%
3%
5.7%
7%
5.8%
3%
5.9%
3%
6.0%+
7%
≤5.1% 64%
5.2% 11%
5.4% 9.8%
5.3% 7.7%
$38,653 Vol.
$38,653 Vol.
≤5.1%
64%
5.2%
11%
5.3%
8%
5.4%
10%
5.5%
3%
5.6%
3%
5.7%
7%
5.8%
3%
5.9%
3%
6.0%+
7%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 16, 2026, 10:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June producer price data showed an unexpected 0.3% monthly decline in final demand PPI, driven by a 1.4% drop in goods prices and sharp energy cost pullbacks, pushing the year-over-year rate to 5.5%—well below the 6.2% consensus. This cooling, alongside a parallel CPI decline to 3.5% YoY, has reinforced expectations for continued moderation in wholesale inflation, positioning the ≤5.1% outcome as the dominant market-implied probability at 63.5%. Core measures excluding food and energy also eased, reflecting subdued pipeline pressures ahead of the August 13 release. Traders appear to be pricing in sustained energy price relief and limited pass-through from prior months, though any rebound in commodities could alter the path.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong