Recent June 2026 CPI data, showing headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% amid sharply lower energy prices following the US-Iran ceasefire, anchors trader expectations for July. Shelter costs continued moderating at 3.3% and core inflation declined to 2.6%, supporting views that the disinflation trend persists into the next reading. Market-implied odds favor a 3.4% print at 42.5%, reflecting these cooling components offset by any residual base effects or food price stability. The Federal Reserve’s focus on the inflation trajectory ahead of its September policy meeting adds weight to incoming data, with energy and housing trends serving as key swing factors for the final outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3.4% 43%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 22%
3.2% 6.2%
$218,617 Vol.
$218,617 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤3.1%
4%
3.2%
6%
3.3%
28%
3.4%
43%
3.5%
22%
3.6%
2%
3.7%
2%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
<1%
4.1%
<1%
≥4.2%
<1%
3.4% 43%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 22%
3.2% 6.2%
$218,617 Vol.
$218,617 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤3.1%
$16,737 Vol.
4%
3.2%
$17,711 Vol.
6%
3.3%
$42,106 Vol.
28%
3.4%
$47,402 Vol.
43%
3.5%
$24,097 Vol.
22%
3.6%
$12,422 Vol.
2%
3.7%
$13,118 Vol.
2%
3.8%
$12,050 Vol.
1%
3.9%
$9,992 Vol.
<1%
4.0%
$7,866 Vol.
<1%
4.1%
$7,245 Vol.
<1%
≥4.2%
$7,872 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 CPI data, showing headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% amid sharply lower energy prices following the US-Iran ceasefire, anchors trader expectations for July. Shelter costs continued moderating at 3.3% and core inflation declined to 2.6%, supporting views that the disinflation trend persists into the next reading. Market-implied odds favor a 3.4% print at 42.5%, reflecting these cooling components offset by any residual base effects or food price stability. The Federal Reserve’s focus on the inflation trajectory ahead of its September policy meeting adds weight to incoming data, with energy and housing trends serving as key swing factors for the final outcome.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$218,617Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 CPI data, showing headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% amid sharply lower energy prices following the US-Iran ceasefire, anchors trader expectations for July. Shelter costs continued moderating at 3.3% and core inflation declined to 2.6%, supporting views that the disinflation trend persists into the next reading. Market-implied odds favor a 3.4% print at 42.5%, reflecting these cooling components offset by any residual base effects or food price stability. The Federal Reserve’s focus on the inflation trajectory ahead of its September policy meeting adds weight to incoming data, with energy and housing trends serving as key swing factors for the final outcome.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$218,617Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 CPI data, showing headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% amid sharply lower energy prices following the US-Iran ceasefire, anchors trader expectations for July. Shelter costs continued moderating at 3.3% and core inflation declined to 2.6%, supporting views that the disinflation trend persists into the next reading. Market-implied odds favor a 3.4% print at 42.5%, reflecting these cooling components offset by any residual base effects or food price stability. The Federal Reserve’s focus on the inflation trajectory ahead of its September policy meeting adds weight to incoming data, with energy and housing trends serving as key swing factors for the final outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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