Recent June CPI data showed a sharp 0.4% monthly decline in headline inflation to 3.5% year-over-year, driven primarily by lower energy prices, establishing a low base for July readings. Trader consensus now favors a modest rebound to at least +0.1% month-over-month, priced at 57% implied probability, amid stabilizing energy costs, persistent shelter inflation, and early tariff pass-through effects. Core measures have eased to around 2.6% annually, while consumer one-year inflation expectations edged down to 3.6%. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, markets are weighing resilient growth against limited Fed easing signals at the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, positioning small positive prints as the base case ahead of potential volatility from commodity swings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update≥0.1% 57%
0.0% 31%
-0.1% 5.8%
≤-0.7% 1.3%
$161,669 Vol.
$161,669 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
1%
-0.6%
<1%
-0.5%
<1%
-0.4%
<1%
-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
6%
0.0%
31%
≥0.1%
57%
≥0.1% 57%
0.0% 31%
-0.1% 5.8%
≤-0.7% 1.3%
$161,669 Vol.
$161,669 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
$12,060 Vol.
1%
-0.6%
$9,797 Vol.
<1%
-0.5%
$5,522 Vol.
<1%
-0.4%
$5,461 Vol.
<1%
-0.3%
$5,769 Vol.
<1%
-0.2%
$6,225 Vol.
<1%
-0.1%
$12,024 Vol.
6%
0.0%
$29,077 Vol.
31%
≥0.1%
$75,733 Vol.
57%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data showed a sharp 0.4% monthly decline in headline inflation to 3.5% year-over-year, driven primarily by lower energy prices, establishing a low base for July readings. Trader consensus now favors a modest rebound to at least +0.1% month-over-month, priced at 57% implied probability, amid stabilizing energy costs, persistent shelter inflation, and early tariff pass-through effects. Core measures have eased to around 2.6% annually, while consumer one-year inflation expectations edged down to 3.6%. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, markets are weighing resilient growth against limited Fed easing signals at the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, positioning small positive prints as the base case ahead of potential volatility from commodity swings.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Volume
$161,669Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data showed a sharp 0.4% monthly decline in headline inflation to 3.5% year-over-year, driven primarily by lower energy prices, establishing a low base for July readings. Trader consensus now favors a modest rebound to at least +0.1% month-over-month, priced at 57% implied probability, amid stabilizing energy costs, persistent shelter inflation, and early tariff pass-through effects. Core measures have eased to around 2.6% annually, while consumer one-year inflation expectations edged down to 3.6%. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, markets are weighing resilient growth against limited Fed easing signals at the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, positioning small positive prints as the base case ahead of potential volatility from commodity swings.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$161,669Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June CPI data showed a sharp 0.4% monthly decline in headline inflation to 3.5% year-over-year, driven primarily by lower energy prices, establishing a low base for July readings. Trader consensus now favors a modest rebound to at least +0.1% month-over-month, priced at 57% implied probability, amid stabilizing energy costs, persistent shelter inflation, and early tariff pass-through effects. Core measures have eased to around 2.6% annually, while consumer one-year inflation expectations edged down to 3.6%. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, markets are weighing resilient growth against limited Fed easing signals at the current 3.50-3.75% funds rate target, positioning small positive prints as the base case ahead of potential volatility from commodity swings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong