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icon for Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?
Politika·Trump

Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?

icon for Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?
Politika·Trump

Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$1,400,565 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,400,565 Vol.

Polymarket

Kristi Noem

$97,520 Vol.

40%

Dan Scavino

$137 Vol.

29%

Howard Lutnick

$94,437 Vol.

25%

Pete Hegseth

$126,658 Vol.

24%

Susie Wiles

$55,831 Vol.

24%

Kash Patel

$304,006 Vol.

23%

Lee Zeldin

$31,610 Vol.

27%

David Sacks

$9,151 Vol.

22%

Markwayne Mullin

$2,631 Vol.

27%

Tom Homan

$187 Vol.

26%

John Ratcliffe

$554 Vol.

13%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$90,850 Vol.

13%

Stephen Miller

$3,769 Vol.

12%

Russell Vought

$284 Vol.

17%

Scott Bessent

$7,892 Vol.

9%

Marco Rubio

$19,710 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.High turnover among political appointees has defined the second Trump administration through mid-2026, with over 930 non-Senate-confirmed officials departing in the first 18 months—more than double the pace under recent predecessors. Cabinet-level exits include firings or resignations of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, Attorney General Pam Bondi, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, alongside White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's planned departure at the end of August for family reasons. Drivers include agency-specific pressures on immigration enforcement and legal matters, personal circumstances, and internal frictions ahead of the 2026 midterms. Senate-confirmed roles have seen steadier retention so far, though elevated attrition in departments such as DHS and Commerce informs trader assessments of further changes before the 2027 resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$1,400,565
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.High turnover among political appointees has defined the second Trump administration through mid-2026, with over 930 non-Senate-confirmed officials departing in the first 18 months—more than double the pace under recent predecessors. Cabinet-level exits include firings or resignations of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, Attorney General Pam Bondi, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, alongside White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's planned departure at the end of August for family reasons. Drivers include agency-specific pressures on immigration enforcement and legal matters, personal circumstances, and internal frictions ahead of the 2026 midterms. Senate-confirmed roles have seen steadier retention so far, though elevated attrition in departments such as DHS and Commerce informs trader assessments of further changes before the 2027 resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$1,400,565
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

icon for Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

3%
icon for Mapapatalsik ba si Trump bilang Pangulo bago ang 2027?

Mapapatalsik ba si Trump bilang Pangulo bago ang 2027?

7%
Oo
icon for Magbibitiw ba si Trump bago ang Disyembre 31, 2026?

Magbibitiw ba si Trump bago ang Disyembre 31, 2026?

3%
Oo

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Karoline Leavitt" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Tulsi Gabbard" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $1.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?" ay "Karoline Leavitt" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Tulsi Gabbard" sa 100%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Sino ang aalis sa Trump Administration bago ang 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.