Civil Contract's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects trader consensus on recent polling dominance ahead of the June 7, 2026, vote under proportional representation, where parties need 5% and alliances 7% to enter the National Assembly. EVN Report's second-wave survey (late March 2026, published early April) showed Civil Contract at 33.6% voting intention—up 7.5 points—with 37% undecided voters leaning incumbent (projecting 41-50% support), driven by rising Prime Minister approval to 47%, improved economic and security perceptions, and opposition fragmentation. Strong Armenia trails at 11%, while Armenia Alliance (6% market share) and others like Prosperous Armenia languish below thresholds, limiting coalition prospects despite pro-Russian ties. No major shifts in the past week, but international observer preparations underscore procedural focus.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiErmenistan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Ermenistan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Sivil Sözleşme 90%
Ermenistan İttifakı 6%
Miras 2.5%
Ermenistan Ulusal Kongresi 2.2%
$103,314 Hac.
$103,314 Hac.
7 Haz 2026
Sivil Sözleşme
90%
Ermenistan İttifakı
6%
Miras
2%
Ermenistan Ulusal Kongresi
2%
Müreffeh Ermenistan
2%
Orinats Yerkir
2%
Aydınlık Ermenistan
1%
Onur İttifakı
1%
Hanrapetutyun Partisi
1%
Sivil Sözleşme 90%
Ermenistan İttifakı 6%
Miras 2.5%
Ermenistan Ulusal Kongresi 2.2%
$103,314 Hac.
$103,314 Hac.
7 Haz 2026
Sivil Sözleşme
$41,427 Hac.
90%
Ermenistan İttifakı
$49,639 Hac.
6%
Miras
$1,761 Hac.
2%
Ermenistan Ulusal Kongresi
$2,006 Hac.
2%
Müreffeh Ermenistan
$1,554 Hac.
2%
Orinats Yerkir
$1,807 Hac.
2%
Aydınlık Ermenistan
$2,248 Hac.
1%
Onur İttifakı
$1,405 Hac.
1%
Hanrapetutyun Partisi
$1,468 Hac.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects trader consensus on recent polling dominance ahead of the June 7, 2026, vote under proportional representation, where parties need 5% and alliances 7% to enter the National Assembly. EVN Report's second-wave survey (late March 2026, published early April) showed Civil Contract at 33.6% voting intention—up 7.5 points—with 37% undecided voters leaning incumbent (projecting 41-50% support), driven by rising Prime Minister approval to 47%, improved economic and security perceptions, and opposition fragmentation. Strong Armenia trails at 11%, while Armenia Alliance (6% market share) and others like Prosperous Armenia languish below thresholds, limiting coalition prospects despite pro-Russian ties. No major shifts in the past week, but international observer preparations underscore procedural focus.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Hacim
$103,314Bitiş Tarihi
7 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects trader consensus on recent polling dominance ahead of the June 7, 2026, vote under proportional representation, where parties need 5% and alliances 7% to enter the National Assembly. EVN Report's second-wave survey (late March 2026, published early April) showed Civil Contract at 33.6% voting intention—up 7.5 points—with 37% undecided voters leaning incumbent (projecting 41-50% support), driven by rising Prime Minister approval to 47%, improved economic and security perceptions, and opposition fragmentation. Strong Armenia trails at 11%, while Armenia Alliance (6% market share) and others like Prosperous Armenia languish below thresholds, limiting coalition prospects despite pro-Russian ties. No major shifts in the past week, but international observer preparations underscore procedural focus.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Hacim
$103,314Bitiş Tarihi
7 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market reflects trader consensus on recent polling dominance ahead of the June 7, 2026, vote under proportional representation, where parties need 5% and alliances 7% to enter the National Assembly. EVN Report's second-wave survey (late March 2026, published early April) showed Civil Contract at 33.6% voting intention—up 7.5 points—with 37% undecided voters leaning incumbent (projecting 41-50% support), driven by rising Prime Minister approval to 47%, improved economic and security perceptions, and opposition fragmentation. Strong Armenia trails at 11%, while Armenia Alliance (6% market share) and others like Prosperous Armenia languish below thresholds, limiting coalition prospects despite pro-Russian ties. No major shifts in the past week, but international observer preparations underscore procedural focus.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular